The gap between the first and second-largest economies threatens to widen as China struggles with “economic long COVID.”
— Read on www.newsweek.com/china-xi-jinping-economy-gdp-overtake-us-1858561
随着中国与“经济长期新冠病毒”作斗争，第一和第二大经济体之间的差距可能会扩大。
该国在新冠肺炎大流行期间从长达多年的防病毒政策中复苏，这辜负了一些分析师的预期，几个月的轮流封锁、房地产市场陷入困境以及外国直接投资的减少。
https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/05/business/chinese-shadow-bank-zhongzhi-bankrupcty/index.html
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-67890633
中国财富管理公司中植企业集团因未能偿还债务而申请破产清算，该公司正努力应对房地产市场日益低迷的局面。
中国首都北京一家法院周五在一份声明中表示，中植公司以无法清偿到期债务且资产不足以清偿全部债务为由申请破产。
法院表示，根据我国企业破产法的规定，受理了中植公司的破产清算申请。
中植银行是中国规模达 3 万亿美元的影子银行领域的主要参与者（其规模与法国经济规模相当），其日益恶化的困境加剧了人们对中国房地产债务危机正在蔓延到更广泛的金融领域的担忧。
该公司在中国房地产行业拥有大量投资，该公司在 11 月份的一封信中向投资者致歉，称该公司严重资不抵债，负债高达 640 亿美元。
Chinese wealth manager Zhongzhi Enterprise Group has filed for bankruptcy liquidation after failing to repay debt, as the firm grapples with a deepening property market downturn.
Zhongzhi applied for bankruptcy on the grounds it could not pay its due debts and its assets were insufficient to pay all its debts, a court in China’s capital Beijing said in a statement on Friday.
The court said it accepted Zhongzhi’s bankruptcy liquidation application in accordance with China’s enterprise bankruptcy law.
The worsening woes at Zhongzhi, a major player in China’s $3 trillion shadow banking sector — roughly the size of the French economy — add to worries that the country’s property debt crisis is spilling over into the broader financial sector.
The company, which has sizable exposure to China’s real estate sector, apologized to its investors in a letter in November that said it was heavily insolvent with up to $64 billion in liabilities.
The Number Of Chinese Nationals Illegally Entering The US Just Hit A New Record High 非法入境美国的中国公民人数再创新高
https://www.fairus.org/blog/2024/01/04/cbp-goes-light-illegal-border-crossers-china
22名中国人被偷渡至韩国保宁海域 Chinese people smuggled into the sea off Boryeong, South Korea
https://www.segye.com/newsView/20240108502876
https://www.asiae.co.kr/article/2024010414245422890
韩国济州海岸警卫队逮捕了三人，其中包括一名中国特工，他们试图非法出境。 South Korea’s Jeju Coast Guard arrests three people, including a Chinese agent, who attempted to move illegally outside the province.
An illegal Chinese woman who had entered Jeju without a visa was arrested after being discovered through an 一名非法入境韩国济州岛的中国女子被警方发现后被捕
https://news.zum.com/articles/87992002
A Chinese national who fled after entering the country illegally on the west coast of Korea was arrested in Ansan. 一名在韩国西海岸非法入境后潜逃的中国公民在安山被捕。
https://www.yna.co.kr/view/AKR20231003023451061
WORLDAsiaWar In UkraineAfricaAmericasEuropeMiddle East
中国声称已经消除了贫困，但数字掩盖了严峻的挑战
the country’s poverty alleviation campaign dominated headlines posted on social media, with some discussions censored after Internet users questioned the figures. “Can someone tell me what the official standard is for eliminating poverty? Why can I still see people on the street begging?” one asked on the microblog Weibo. Another joked, “China has eliminated absolute poverty. That’s right. Everyone is just relatively poor.”
该国的扶贫运动占据了社交媒体上的头条新闻，一些讨论在互联网用户质疑这些数字后受到了审查。“谁能告诉我消除贫困的官方标准是什么？ 为什么我还能看到有人在街上乞讨？” 有人在微博上问道。 另一位网友开玩笑说：“中国已经消除了绝对贫困。 这是正确的。 每个人都只是相对贫穷。”
It is important to clarify that our findings refer only to extreme poverty, defined as the inability to purchase essential food, shelter and a few basic necessities.
China’s impressive industrial development has, of course, led to substantial improvements in access to modern appliances, information technology and other goods. But when it comes to access to basic nutrients and housing, a large share of China’s population appears to have suffered during the move to a market economy.
Our findings have important implications. They suggest that although industrial development is an important goal, it can’t be relied upon to cut extreme poverty in and of itself, at least not in the context of capitalist reforms and social policy retrenchment.
Public ownership, price controls, and universal access to social services, of the kind advanced in China before the market reforms, can be at least as effective, especially at low levels of economic development.
需要澄清的是，我们的研究结果仅涉及极端贫困，即无法购买基本食物、住房和一些基本必需品。
当然，中国令人瞩目的工业发展极大地改善了现代家电、信息技术和其他商品的获取。 但在获得基本营养和住房方面，很大一部分中国人口似乎在向市场经济转型过程中遭受了损失。
我们的发现具有重要意义。 他们认为，尽管工业发展是一个重要目标，但不能依靠它本身来消除极端贫困，至少在资本主义改革和社会政策紧缩的背景下是这样。
中国在市场改革之前推行的公有制、价格控制和普遍获得社会服务至少可以同样有效，特别是在经济发展水平较低的情况下。
https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/06/china/china-patriotic-education-law-intl-hnk/
爱自己的国家不是法律强制的，而是发自内心的
That “Patriotic Education Law,” aimed at “enhancing national unity,” mandates that love of the country and the ruling Chinese Communist Party be incorporated into work and study for everyone – from the youngest children to workers and professionals across all sectors.
It is meant to help China “unify thoughts” and “gather the strength of the people for the great cause of building a strong country and national rejuvenation,” a Chinese propaganda official told a news briefing last month.
The push for a love of country and the Communist Party is far from new in China, where patriotism and propaganda have been an integral part of education, company culture and life since the People’s Republic was founded nearly 75 years ago.
旨在“增强民族团结”的《爱国主义教育法》要求，从幼儿到各行各业的工人和专业人士，要把对国家和执政的中国共产党的热爱融入到每个人的工作和学习中。
一名中国宣传官员在上个月的新闻发布会上表示，此举旨在帮助中国“统一思想”，“凝聚人民力量，实现强国伟业、民族复兴”。
爱国爱党在中国早已不是什么新鲜事，自中华人民共和国成立近75年来，爱国主义和宣传一直是教育、企业文化和生活不可或缺的一部分。
“他们把新疆的土著人民描绘成移民，把伊斯兰教描绘成对该地区陌生的宗教，”贾泽希说。 “这是不正确的 。 “
只有当他和其他记者被中国东道主带到乌鲁木齐地区首府以外的一个所谓的职业培训中心时，他的幻想才得以破灭。
“他们说这就像一所学校，但它显然是沙漠中一个高度安全的地点，”Jazexhi说。
“他们还告诉我们，住在那里的人不允许离开，所以显然不是学校，而是一所监狱，那里的人不是学生，而是囚犯。
一旦他们进入该网站，Jazexhi有机会与几名维吾尔人互动，很快就清楚他们不是北京声称的”恐怖分子”或”极端分子”。
“They were portraying the indigenous people of Xinjiang as immigrants and Islam as a religion that was foreign to the region,” Jazexhi said. “It was incorrect.”
His disillusion only continued when he and other journalists were taken by their Chinese hosts to one of the so-called vocational training centres outside the regional capital of Urumqi.
“They said it was like a school but it was clearly a high-security site in the middle in the desert,” Jazexhi said.
“They also told us that the people staying there were not allowed to leave so it was obviously not a school but a prison and the people there were not students but prisoners.”
Once they entered the site, Jazexhi had a chance to interact with several Uighurs and it quickly became clear they were not the “terrorists” or “extremists” Beijing had claimed.
At the same time, information flowing in and out of Xinjiang remains tightly controlled, while Xinjiang residents are punished for having unauthorised contact with people outside China.
“The genocide is still happening but it is just much more covert now,” Turdush said.
Despite the controversy surrounding the organised tours, both Turdush and Jazexhi believe that foreign journalists and officials should continue to visit Xinjiang as long as they challenge the narratives that are presented to them.
“They should go,” Jazexhi said.
“And they should speak the truth about what they see in Xinjiang and what they don’t see.”
与此同时，进出新疆的信息仍然受到严格控制，而新疆居民因未经授权与中国境外人员接触而受到惩罚。
“种族灭绝仍在发生，但现在更加隐蔽，”Turdush说。
尽管围绕有组织的旅行存在争议，但Turdush和Jazexhi都认为，外国记者和官员应该继续访问新疆，只要他们挑战向他们展示的故事。
“他们应该去，”Jazexhi说。
“他们应该说出他们在新疆看到的东西和他们没有看到的东西的真相。
Xi仍然不知道谁破坏了中国经济。 或者Xi知道谁，但无视真相。 最近，经济疲软的迹象有所增加，12月份工厂活动萎缩到六个月来的最低水平，这可能会给决策者增加压力，迫使他们采取紧急行动，为经济注入动力。 —在fortune.com/asia/2023/12/31/china-xi-jinping-year-end-address-manufacturing-electric-vehicles-planes-weakness-economy/上阅读 Xi still has no idea who spoil China’s Economy. Or Xi knows whom but disregard the truth. Signs of weakness in the economy have increased recently with factory activity shrinking in December to the lowest level in six months, likely adding pressure on policymakers to act urgently to inject impetus to the economy.
— Read on fortune.com/asia/2023/12/31/china-xi-jinping-year-end-address-manufacturing-electric-vehicles-planes-weakness-economy/
中国今年面临许多经济问题，从通货紧缩和创纪录的青年失业率到房地产危机。
但这个国家面临着另一个更令人担忧的威胁：地方政府的巨大隐藏债务。
一些估计认为，中国地方融资工具的负债接近10万亿美元。
China has faced many economic problems this year, from deflation and record youth unemployment to a property crisis.
But the nation faces another, even more worrisome threat: the colossal hidden debt of its local governments.
Some estimates put the liabilities of China’s local financing vehicles close to $10 trillion.
— Read on finance.yahoo.com/news/chinas-10-trillion-hidden-debt-170001361.html
地下中国历史学家挑战中共滥用历史 The Underground Chinese Historians Challenging the CCP’s Misuse of History
— Read on www.foreignaffairs.com/china/who-gets-tell-chinas-story
中共利用他们被操纵的历史来洗脑他们的人民。
大多数中国公民从幼儿园开始接受教育，为中共的永恒版税而洗脑。 这种洗脑程序的结果是，大多数中国人是不文明的，害怕他们残酷的政府会在没有自己意愿的情况下跟随并走到一起。
CCP has using their manipulated history to brainwash their people.
Most of Chinese nationals has been educated from kindergarten to be brainwashed for the eternal royalty to CCP. This brainwashing procedure results most Chinese are uncivilized and scared their brutal government leads to follow and come together without own will.
分析师表示，习近平的实际经济管理是问题的一部分。Analysts say Xi Jinping’s hands-on management of the economy is part of the problem.
— Read on www.rfa.org/english/news/china/china-economy-12152023163159.html
中国经济放缓的最大问题是习近平 China’s big problem of slowing economy is Xi jinping
在一场值得间谍惊悚片的情节转折中，中国动摇欧洲政治的秘密行动刚刚撞上了墙。 故事以中国间谍的尝试展开 In a plot twist worthy of a spy thriller, China’s covert operation to sway European politics just hit a wall. The story unfolds with Chinese spies attempting
— Read on www.cryptopolitan.com/inside-china-failed-attempt-to-spy-on-europe/
中国在欧洲的间谍企图因利用比利时政治家影响政治讨论而动摇。
中国间谍Daniel Woo旨在操纵欧洲关于香港和维吾尔人等敏感问题的话语。
尽管做出了努力，但行动收效甚微，凸显了国际间谍活动的复杂性和风险。
Moody’s Reveals China’s Fake Economy: $11 Trillion in Local Debts, Fatal Crisis Due Next Year 穆迪揭穿中国虚假经济：11万亿美元地方债务，致命危机将于明年爆发
Moody’s puts China on downgrade warning as growth, property pressures mount 随着经济增长和房地产压力加大，穆迪对中国发出评级下调警告
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/moodys-cuts-chinas-credit-outlook-negative-2023-12-05/
In October, China unveiled a plan to issue 1 trillion yuan ($139.84 billion) in sovereign bonds by year-end to help kick-start activity, raising the 2023 budget deficit target to 3.8% of GDP from the original 3%.
After years of over-investment, plummeting returns from land sales, and soaring costs to battle COVID, rating firms have been warning about the contingent liability risks of debt-laden Chinese municipalities.
Local government debt reached 92 trillion yuan ($12.6 trillion), or 76% of China’s economic output in 2022, up from 62.2% in 2019, according to the latest data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Capital outflows from China have also intensified, reaching $75 billion in September, in the biggest monthly exodus since 2016, Goldman Sachs data showed.
($1 = 7.1430 Chinese yuan renminbi)
Reporting by Gnaneshwar Rajan and Shristi Achar A in Bengaluru, Kevin Yao in Beijing, Marc Jones in London and Lewis Krauskopf in New York; Editing by Tom Hogue, Kim Coghill, Nick Zieminski and Richard Chang
债务更深
10月，中国公布了一项计划，将在年底前发行1万亿元人民币（1,398.4亿美元）的主权债券，以帮助启动经济活动，将2023年预算赤字目标从最初占GDP的3%提高到3.8%。
经过多年的过度投资、土地销售回报大幅下降以及抗击新冠疫情的成本飙升，评级公司一直对负债累累的中国地方政府的或有负债风险发出警告。
国际货币基金组织 (IMF) 的最新数据显示，到 2022 年，地方政府债务将达到 92 万亿元人民币（12.6 万亿美元），占中国经济产出的 76%，高于 2019 年的 62.2%。
高盛的数据显示，中国的资本外流也在加剧，9月份达到750亿美元，这是自2016年以来最大的月度外流。
（1 美元 = 7.1430 人民币）
班加罗尔的 Gnaneshwar Rajan 和 Shristi Achar A、北京的 Kevin Yao、伦敦的 Marc Jones 和纽约的 Lewis Krauskopf 进行报道； 编辑：Tom Hogue、Kim Coghill、Nick Zieminski 和 Richard Chang
75岁的英国公民、现已关闭的小报《苹果日报》的创始人Lai自2020年以来一直在香港坐牢，等待根据有争议的国家安全法涉嫌“与外国势力勾结”的审判。 Lai, a 75-year-old British citizen and founder of the now-shuttered tabloid Apple Daily, has been behind bars in Hong Kong since 2020, awaiting trial for alleged “collusion with foreign forces” under a controversial national security law.
菲律宾海事特别工作组周日指责中国海岸警卫队“严重损坏”了其一艘被水炮“直接瞄准”的船只，并冲撞了另一艘。 The Philippines Maritime Task Force accused Sunday the China Coast Guard of “severely damaging” one of its vessels that was “directly targeted” by water cannon, and of ramming another.
— Read on www.cnbc.com/2023/12/11/marcos-vows-to-defend-philippines-sovereignty-amid-china-aggression.html
习近平主席的宫廷里有些东西腐烂了。
当世界因中东和乌克兰的战争而分心时，一场类似斯大林的清洗正在席卷中国超秘密的政治体系，对全球经济甚至该地区的和平前景产生深远影响。
Something is rotten in the imperial court of Chairman Xi Jinping.
While the world is distracted by war in the Middle East and Ukraine, a Stalin-like purge is sweeping through China’s ultra-secretive political system, with profound implications for the global economy and even the prospects for peace in the region.
— Read on www.politico.eu/article/chinas-paranoid-purge-xi-jinping-li-keqiang-qin-gang-li-shangfu/
中国经济无论是国际还是国内都在下滑、崩溃。 中国8家银行信用评分为“负”，中国政府信用降至“负” Falling , Collapsing China’s Economy both in International or Domestic. China Government Credit fall down to “negative” following China’s 8 Banks got “negative” credit score
Ratings agency Moody’s cut its outlook on China’s government credit ratings to negative from stable on Tuesday, in the latest sign of mounting global concern over the impact of surging local government debt and a deepening property crisis on the world’s second-largest economy 评级机构穆迪周二将中国政府信用评级展望从稳定下调至负面，这是全球对地方政府债务激增和房地产危机加深对世界第二大经济体影响日益担忧的最新迹象。
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/dec/05/moodys-china-credit-outlook-negative-economy
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/3-moodys-cuts-china-credit-outlook-2023-12-05/
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/05/business/china-debt-moodys-outlook.html
穆迪将中国政府信用评级展望从稳定下调至负面。
穆迪预计，北京对陷入困境的地方政府和国有企业的支持和可能的救助将削弱中国的财政、经济和制度实力。
评级机构维持中国主权债券“A1”长期评级。
Philippines Deploys Vessels to Monitor ‘Illegal’ Presence of Chinese Boats in South China Sea
— Read on www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2023-12-03/philippines-monitored-illegal-presence-of-more-than-135-chinese-boats-in-south-china-sea
China is once again causing global concern with a new virus, and has been accused of not following the same international health guidelines that other countries adhere to. This follows a pattern of behavior seen previously during the Covid-19 pandemic.
The Chinese government is saying there is nothing major to worry about. When asked by the World Health Organization about reports of widespread clusters of undiagnosed pneumonia in children, health authorities said the uptick in sick people was due to known pathogens such as influenza, rhinovirus, RSV and mycoplasma.
No new germs have been found, they said. And so far, no deaths have been reported.
That’s probably little comfort to parents who have had to wait several hours in hospitals in Beijing and other cities in the north for their sick children to see a doctor. The scenes of overcrowded hallways and children on intravenous infusions have brought back memories of the early days of Covid, which emerged as a mysterious pneumonia.
The truth is, mycoplasma is not unusual. It is a common pathogen that causes pneumonia among children aged five or above, and it has triggered epidemics in China every two-to-four years.
While it tends to cause only mild colds in older kids and adults with robust immune systems, younger children are prone to develop pneumonia — creating concern on what to do once they get it. China has the world’s highest incidence of mycoplasma that’s resistant to a class of antibiotic called macrolides. Up to 80% of cases in kids don’t respond to the commonly prescribed azithromycin and similar drugs.
Oddly, China appears to be the only country facing a major mycoplasma outbreak. The US and much of Europe are dealing with the flu and RSV. One study showed mycoplasma was subdued in China for almost two years by Covid countermeasures that have since been lifted.
中国再次引起全球对新型病毒的关注，并被指责不遵守其他国家所遵循的国际卫生准则。 这遵循了此前新冠肺炎大流行时期出现的行为模式。
中国政府表示没有什么值得担心的。 当世界卫生组织询问有关儿童广泛出现的未确诊肺炎群的报告时，卫生当局表示，患病人数的增加是由于流感、鼻病毒、呼吸道合胞病毒和支原体等已知病原体造成的。
他们说，没有发现新的细菌。 到目前为止，还没有死亡报告。
对于那些不得不在北京和北方其他城市的医院等待几个小时才能让生病的孩子看医生的父母来说，这可能并不能带来什么安慰。 拥挤的走廊和接受静脉输液的儿童的场景让人们回想起新冠病毒早期的情景，当时它是一种神秘的肺炎。
事实上，支原体并不罕见。 它是导致五岁或以上儿童肺炎的常见病原体，每两到四年在中国引发一次流行。
虽然它往往只会导致免疫系统强大的年龄较大的儿童和成年人患上轻度感冒，但年幼的儿童很容易患上肺炎，从而引发人们对感染后该怎么办的担忧。 中国是世界上支原体发病率最高的国家，这种支原体对大环内酯类抗生素具有耐药性。 高达 80% 的儿童病例对常用的阿奇霉素和类似药物没有反应。
奇怪的是，中国似乎是唯一面临支原体大规模爆发的国家。 美国和欧洲大部分地区正在应对流感和呼吸道合胞病毒。 一项研究显示，由于新冠疫情对策，支原体在中国被抑制了近两年，但后来又取消了。
Now, China is doing that behavior again to the World with China’s new virus. 现在，中国正在用中国的新病毒再次对世界做出这种行为。
China has not played by the same international health rules everyone else has 中国没有遵守其他任何国家都遵守的国际卫生规则
https://youtu.be/rXIjDKYTLSU?si=YyiqpScr48Vui4hD
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/trade-war-companies-fleeing-china
https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/tech/2019/12/129_279961.html
https://www.forbes.com/sites/miltonezrati/2023/11/23/more-money-is-leaving-china/?sh=735e46c63acf
https://apnews.com/article/china-foreign-companies-investment-trade-a47887e2c89050d291ebd169b0989cc4
中国本已陷入困境的经济又面临着另一个问题。 外国公司（其中一些在中国历史悠久）正在重新考虑现代化和扩张的计划，并开始将利润转移到国内或亚洲其他地方，甚至更远的地方。 这种趋势有多种原因——有些是直接的，有些是更根本的——并且已经发展了一段时间。 然而，无论其原因是什么，它都让中国的经济复苏看起来更加成问题。China’s already beleaguered economy is facing yet another problem. Foreign firms, some long-established in China, are rethinking plans to modernize and expand and have begun to send their profits home or elsewhere in Asia and even further afield. The trend has diverse causes — some immediate, some more fundamental – and has been developing for some time. Whatever its cause, however, it has made China’s economic recovery looks even more problematic.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-global-mega-projects-infrastructure-falling-apart-11674166180
Many of China’s Belt and Road infrastructure projects are plagued with construction flaws, including a giant hydropower plant in Ecuador, adding more costs to a program criticized for leading countries deeper into debt 中国的许多“一带一路”基础设施项目都存在建设缺陷，其中包括厄瓜多尔的一座巨型水电站，该项目增加了更多成本，该项目被批评导致国家陷入更深的债务
China Export Tofu Dreg Construction to the World: Making Other Nations Collapse | China Undercover 中国向世界出口豆腐渣建筑：让其他国家崩溃 中国卧底
